Sunday, August 14, 2011

2012 GOP Update, Bachmann Wins Iowa Straw Poll, Palin Speculation Rampant – Time on Her Side to Announce


Palin and Bachmann, with Palin entry, historical milestone - Image MSNBC

Michelle Bachmann won the Iowa Straw Poll on Saturday, effectively giving those participating in the poll a run for their money (literally, the cost associated with the poll is $15,000 per candidate) Ron Paul, placed a strong second, with Mitt Romney and write in candidate Rick Perry, garnering under the 1,000 vote mark. As far as Perry is concerned, he had just entered the GOP nomination race that day in South Carolina (with a very strong speech) – Romney, the perceived front-runner, would, in this opinion, have the most to lose with Perry in the race. Massachusetts political groups, including the Worcester GOP, are clearly pleased that Perry is now in the race.

Sarah Palin was in attendance at the Iowa State Fair, and is also considered a front runner by some polls placing third on Real Clear Politics. The prevailing speculation is that she will announce in September, coinciding with a visit to Iowa for a large Tea Party event. Those who consider late GOP race entries to be “too late”, might take into account Ronald Reagan, who announced formally he would seek the GOP Nomination in November of 1979. Palin, not unlike Reagan, had built a grass roots support network in the three years prior to the election. This strategy played no small role in the California Governors eventual nomination as the GOP Presidential candidate in 1980 and subsequent 8 year term as President of the U.S.

The process and those late entrants to the race, Perry and Palin in September, would lend much to the national conversation - To have two women, running as conservative GOP nominees, would be, in itself, historical in nature, and in addition, bring some balance to the debate.

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