FromTIPP Online: "In 2004, TIPP, a Division of TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence, came within 3/10 of 1% point of President Bush's actual margin of victory, thus winning the title of "Nation's Most Accurate Pollster." We're planning to do it again this time around, so why not come along for the ride!"
11/2 Results: November 2 McCain: 44.6% Obama: 46.7% Undecided: 8.7% +2.1 Obama
8.7% Undecided - or unwilling to state their position - generally, undecided voters break conservative - the key in generally. Additionally, there is a margin of error to consider - that said - all polls include a rather high number of undecided voters - this is any one's race at this point. It is, however, interesting to note, that in the TIPP McCain gained 2.4 points in one day of polling. It would not be the first time in this long process that the polling data was in error. McCain was counted out, and came roaring back, Obama was slated to take a state in double digits, and lost soundly to Clinton - go figure.
Monday, November 03, 2008
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1 comment:
I think there are three things to keep in mind
-Obama has shown to overpoll in several very important and close states (depending on poll), Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire
-There is a better than even chance the undecideds will break for McCain due to a lot of factors
-The polls have used questionable, at best, methods this year
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