Doug Hoffman, New York Conservative Party History in the Making - New York 23rd District - image:4.pb.blogspot
The Republicanrunning in the New York 23rd District, Dede Scozzafava, has taken herself out of the race, leaving the Conservative Candidate Doug Hoffman poised to make history. Hoffman, who had closed within a point of Democrat Bill Owns according to polls taken before Scozzafava announcement, will now, in all likelihood, surge past Owens on Tuesday to be the New York Conservative Party’s first Representative in the United States Congress.
Ms. Scozzafava suspended her campaign today, once it was determined by the latest polls that she could not possibly win. In a statement she thanked her supporters and acknowledging that her name would still appear on the ballot, indicated that those supporters were free to put their support where they chose.
It is now likely that on Tuesday, both New York, and the Governor’s seats in New Jersey and Virginia will be held by conservatives.
4 comments:
I am from Mass and glad to find your blog. Almost exactly matches my political convictions. Let's see how your predictions for Tuesday hold up!
Keep up the great writing...
I sure hope Hoffman and Christie win their contests. It will make those demoncrats in tight districts think twice before voting on government control of health care and cap and tax (aka cap and trade).
By the way tina, in Virginia, it is not only McDonnel who is leading but the republican candidates for lt. governor and attorney general are also, according to the latest polls substantially ahead. A sweep has not happened for 12 years. I can tell I will be up late on tuesday, hopefully doing a "high fiver" or at least a "fist pump".
And now, a couple of days later, the "republican" who quits the race supports the demoncrat. It is totally unbelievable that people like Steele and Gingrich supported this person.
If they do not get the message this time then the republican party will be dead just like the whigs and other political parties of the past.
Hello Anonymous - glad to see a fellow Bay Stater - there are actually more conservatives in the State than one would be led to believe - and we cannot always agree on everything - which is what fuels debate - something I enjoy! re: predictions - I'm not moving off that line - read Ralph's comments - If you go to Real Clear Politics and check all polling - you can see a virtual surge (and you can notice that Mass. is conspicuously absent, except for a few polls here and there on the Governor’s race (which..I've addressed in this blog) - Ralph, I believe tomorrow you should see a sweep in Virginia - and Tony - the problem with Dede is that she was too left - and that she was not chosen by the rank and file members of the party to begin with rather the "party machine" or committee - her endorsement of the Democrat Owens, is likely to produce little change, I'd hazard to guess that those of her followers who are with her for ideological reasons and not branding, will most likely still vote for her as her name appears on the ballot - as this is news in the district - those who only vote Republican - will choose the Conservative candidate - giving Hoffman the boost - AS to the so-called schism in the Republican Party - it is also evident in the Democrat Party - between so called "blue dogs", or moderates and the extreme "Progressives" - which will explain the huge lead that McDonnell has in Virginia - I'm watching that happen in focus groups and polls (you need to look at the marginal’s) - it's a rejection of progressives - as to those "party leaders" such as Gingrich - I'm also not certain that they accurately represent the party now? - Granted he was the former speaker of the House, but time has passed, and he is more of a pundit - additionally he, this is my take, was going on the loyal party line (like so many others) that basically separate the local, state and national GOP entities - for example, in any GOP rules - it is the committee (be it City, State or National that makes the decision, and the other entities appear to abide by whatever that decision is - bylaws - it would be the same with the DNC. As to those jumping to the Conservative Candidate at the last minute, the way I view it, is if they were so melded to party they could not make the jump - so to speak.
That said, what is interesting is that suddenly there is a GOP push into the California 10th - so, here are my Monday Morning Predictions:
Virginia Republican
NY 23rd Republican
New Jersey -still a toss-up but the independent is running out there blathering about how GOP notables are asking him to drop out - which...sounds a lot like whinning to me - so having that urban streak - I'd have to say it would benefit Christie - who is up by 6 points and that is according to the PDD (which is left leaning pollster) - so I New Jersey - likely Republican –
and that brings up the wild card - the California 10th - which is considered "safe democrat" due to the makeup of the district being heavily Democrat - that is, in my opinion, no longer a substantive indicator to any outcome given the schisms in the Democrat Party.
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