The Wall Street Journal/NBC's latest GOP Poll shows Donald Trump within 4 points of former Massachusetts Governor and 2008 GOP Presidential candidate, Mitt Romney and tied with former Arkansas Govern er and 2008 GOP Presidential candidate, Mike Huckabee. The poll included likely GOP primary voters; with one interviewee suggesting Mr. Trump's competitiveness, despite the "jokes" about him personally, was his appeal to "regular" people.
An article posted earlier today from the International Business Times suggests that Trumps stance on business, as well as foreign policy, although appearing "risky", would make American "Respected" on the world stage, and improve the economy.
The question now is when Donald Trump will formally announce his candidacy. With both Congresswoman Michelle Bachman and former Governor Sarah Palin, Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney in the mix with Donald Trump, the network ratings for the GOP debates might reach historical proportions.
Wednesday, April 06, 2011
2012 Trump Polls High in New Hampshire, Trump Train Heads to Florida – Trumps Appeal – He’s Not a Politician
As the “Google News Alerts” mount daily for one Donald Trump, real estate mogul, reality television owner/producer, and all around Renaissance Man, one finds his bid for the Presidency a topic of both derision and excitement. The derision is from those that would maintain the status quo, regardless of Party, he is too “right” for the Progressives, and too “left” for the Beltway pundits, which, for some reason unknown to any of those who would comment on a Trump bid for the Presidency, makes him perfect for just about anyone who currently dislikes politicians – from both the right and the left.
Public Policy Polling, a firm that does not hide its obvious affiliation to the Democrat Party, included Trump in one recent poll, the New Hampshire Republican Poll. The poll released on April 5th, and taken between March 31st and April 3rd, places Trump right behind neighbor and 2008 GOP Presidential Primary runner, Mitt Romney, by 27% to Trumps 21%, which is stunning considering: Romney has been open about his intent to run for the 2012 nomination basically since losing the 2008 nomination. Although not officially announced, he had been considered by pollsters to be one of the 3 top frontrunners (with Huckabee and Palin) since polling on GOP “potential candidates” began immediately following the 2010 midterms in November.
Trump on the other hand, made a few statements at that time about a potential run, and then went full bore the past two weeks. In two weeks, Trump surged past all the “potentials” to within points of Romney in Romney’s back yard. The pollster concluded that those in the GOP in New Hampshire must all be “Birthers” (or those who feel there may be something amiss with Obama’s Birth Certificate), due to Trump sharing the same belief (or questioning why the President hasn’t released a long form certificate.) In this particular poll, Trump is thrown in as an “afterthought” – the 20th question of the poll asks: “Here’s one last scenario: what if Donald Trump ran for President and the candidates were Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Mitt Romney, and Donald Trump.
Who would you vote for?” – the Preceding 19 questions do not mention Trump in the list of options.
The following polls by this firm by state (having to do with the 2012 contest, both GOP and national), Georgia, (also released on the 5th and taken March 31-April 3), and Florida GOP (released on the 5th as well but taken between the 24th and 27th) make no mention of Trump. Although the firm noted, in an email inquiry, (paraphrasing) that it was waiting for Trump to seriously announce his intentions before polling him along with the other “potential candidates” (who have not announced), the strength shown by Trump in New Hampshire should see him included in all future polls, however, the language used in the release (he appeals to “birthers”) for example, appears almost to intentionally dismiss Trump.
Be that as it may, Trump is headed for Florida and will be the keynote speaker at a April Tea Party rally. Florida is a key state in any primary, along with Iowa and New Hampshire, where Trump has boots on the ground and appearances scheduled.
What happens when one mentions Donald Trump in conversation outside of the newsroom or the Beltway? “I like Trump – he’s not a politician”, “Trump tells it like it is”, “Trump knows business, and how to fix this mess”, the list goes on: Not one mention of Obama’s Birth Certificate, not one mention of a Cup of Tea with Donald Trump – mainly because those conversations are being held in Massachusetts and New York with a cross section of Republicans, Independents and yes, Democrats. The Donald crosses racial, socio-economic and party lines, in blue states where people have had enough of politicians. One might consider a “poll” of approximately 100 individuals, asked one question, not particularly scientific (absolutely correct), but receives the same or similar answer – “He’s not a politician”. Therefore, to those who would poll, it would be interesting to see how Trump fares with the rest of those who lead the pack of the GOP candidates, but have also, “yet to announce”, should he poll single digits, so be it, but it would be fair, would it not, to see how Trump performs in general, a poll the public has access to.
Donald Trump has, in all likelihood, not toyed with the idea of “running for President”, but has done his research, including internal polling. This may have occurred around the time he decided to tell everyone that would listen what he thought about everything going on with our country. What is interesting is that, seemingly out of nowhere, and in the space of two weeks, Trump, went from a “celebrity throwing his name around but not serious” to a man hitting every talk show, network and street corner.”. He had me at “put soldiers on the border”, and his attitude that America is exceptional.
Prior to that, it was difficult to take him seriously, or more to the point, there were questions on my mind that Trump had an ulterior political motive that had zip to do with the GOP, and possibly a Democrat candidate (see hypothetical blog post here: Trump and the Obama Birth Issue).
For now, I’ve changed my mind and, along with several other Bay State political junkies (from a variety of political affiliations), are waiting for Trump to make it official, in order to volunteer for his campaign. It is not about Obama’s birth certificate, nor is it about the Tea Party (although I do admire the Constitution and applaud those who put the intent of our founders first, along with our fiscal house), it is about who would be best suited to drag us out of the depths we now face, and has the will and the passion and yes, the arrogance (which is necessary, along with a little bit of crazy) to even want the job.
What to watch for: the Negatives which are sky high compared to one Sarah Palin! Consider those who continue to write about “Donald Trump’s Fake Presidential Candidacy”, and then bring up an issue that would put Trump in a category as a “Real Presidential Candidate” Negatives equal a threat to the status quo, be it right or left. Should Trump be perfect, absolutely not! As a moderate conservative living in Massachusetts, the fact that any one candidate could be perfect appears contradictory – that candidate could not be human. Trump, far from perfect, but making no apologies, is extremely appealing.
Public Policy Polling, a firm that does not hide its obvious affiliation to the Democrat Party, included Trump in one recent poll, the New Hampshire Republican Poll. The poll released on April 5th, and taken between March 31st and April 3rd, places Trump right behind neighbor and 2008 GOP Presidential Primary runner, Mitt Romney, by 27% to Trumps 21%, which is stunning considering: Romney has been open about his intent to run for the 2012 nomination basically since losing the 2008 nomination. Although not officially announced, he had been considered by pollsters to be one of the 3 top frontrunners (with Huckabee and Palin) since polling on GOP “potential candidates” began immediately following the 2010 midterms in November.
Trump on the other hand, made a few statements at that time about a potential run, and then went full bore the past two weeks. In two weeks, Trump surged past all the “potentials” to within points of Romney in Romney’s back yard. The pollster concluded that those in the GOP in New Hampshire must all be “Birthers” (or those who feel there may be something amiss with Obama’s Birth Certificate), due to Trump sharing the same belief (or questioning why the President hasn’t released a long form certificate.) In this particular poll, Trump is thrown in as an “afterthought” – the 20th question of the poll asks: “Here’s one last scenario: what if Donald Trump ran for President and the candidates were Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Mitt Romney, and Donald Trump.
Who would you vote for?” – the Preceding 19 questions do not mention Trump in the list of options.
The following polls by this firm by state (having to do with the 2012 contest, both GOP and national), Georgia, (also released on the 5th and taken March 31-April 3), and Florida GOP (released on the 5th as well but taken between the 24th and 27th) make no mention of Trump. Although the firm noted, in an email inquiry, (paraphrasing) that it was waiting for Trump to seriously announce his intentions before polling him along with the other “potential candidates” (who have not announced), the strength shown by Trump in New Hampshire should see him included in all future polls, however, the language used in the release (he appeals to “birthers”) for example, appears almost to intentionally dismiss Trump.
Be that as it may, Trump is headed for Florida and will be the keynote speaker at a April Tea Party rally. Florida is a key state in any primary, along with Iowa and New Hampshire, where Trump has boots on the ground and appearances scheduled.
What happens when one mentions Donald Trump in conversation outside of the newsroom or the Beltway? “I like Trump – he’s not a politician”, “Trump tells it like it is”, “Trump knows business, and how to fix this mess”, the list goes on: Not one mention of Obama’s Birth Certificate, not one mention of a Cup of Tea with Donald Trump – mainly because those conversations are being held in Massachusetts and New York with a cross section of Republicans, Independents and yes, Democrats. The Donald crosses racial, socio-economic and party lines, in blue states where people have had enough of politicians. One might consider a “poll” of approximately 100 individuals, asked one question, not particularly scientific (absolutely correct), but receives the same or similar answer – “He’s not a politician”. Therefore, to those who would poll, it would be interesting to see how Trump fares with the rest of those who lead the pack of the GOP candidates, but have also, “yet to announce”, should he poll single digits, so be it, but it would be fair, would it not, to see how Trump performs in general, a poll the public has access to.
Donald Trump has, in all likelihood, not toyed with the idea of “running for President”, but has done his research, including internal polling. This may have occurred around the time he decided to tell everyone that would listen what he thought about everything going on with our country. What is interesting is that, seemingly out of nowhere, and in the space of two weeks, Trump, went from a “celebrity throwing his name around but not serious” to a man hitting every talk show, network and street corner.”. He had me at “put soldiers on the border”, and his attitude that America is exceptional.
Prior to that, it was difficult to take him seriously, or more to the point, there were questions on my mind that Trump had an ulterior political motive that had zip to do with the GOP, and possibly a Democrat candidate (see hypothetical blog post here: Trump and the Obama Birth Issue).
For now, I’ve changed my mind and, along with several other Bay State political junkies (from a variety of political affiliations), are waiting for Trump to make it official, in order to volunteer for his campaign. It is not about Obama’s birth certificate, nor is it about the Tea Party (although I do admire the Constitution and applaud those who put the intent of our founders first, along with our fiscal house), it is about who would be best suited to drag us out of the depths we now face, and has the will and the passion and yes, the arrogance (which is necessary, along with a little bit of crazy) to even want the job.
What to watch for: the Negatives which are sky high compared to one Sarah Palin! Consider those who continue to write about “Donald Trump’s Fake Presidential Candidacy”, and then bring up an issue that would put Trump in a category as a “Real Presidential Candidate” Negatives equal a threat to the status quo, be it right or left. Should Trump be perfect, absolutely not! As a moderate conservative living in Massachusetts, the fact that any one candidate could be perfect appears contradictory – that candidate could not be human. Trump, far from perfect, but making no apologies, is extremely appealing.
Tuesday, April 05, 2011
Trump and Clinton 2012: Trump to New Hampshire and Iowa Hitting the right Meetings, Hiring Staff, LA Times Makes Case for Clinton Run
Trump In on 2012 - image New York Post
What are the odds of both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton being Top of the Ticket 2012 Candidates? If one is prone to placing a wager now and then, the opportunity exists in several off-shore sports betting websites. For example: Both Trump and Clinton are on the “board” on linesmaker.com with Clinton at a 15/1 and Trump (recently added) at 50/1. Most wagers are going to Sarah Palin who is at 10/1 and Barack Obama who is at 4/5 (the incumbent, one should note, always has the higher odds this early in the game, regardless of actual outcome). What are the odds of the American Public hiring a President who has either a “rock star personality” or has been involved in “entertainment”, appearing on Television shows? Those odds become fairly high, when considering the nation’s history since 1980 vis a vis Barack Obama and one Ronald “Death Valley Days” Reagan.
Therefore, all those pundits who operate out of ivory towers, use charts, or other props, and think Beltway, Beltway; Beltway just may be out of luck this time around. Obviously, rumors are rumors and wishful Monday Morning Quarterbacking is what it is, however, as to the actual who would the U.S. electorate accept (overall), one can bet it will be someone who is easily recognized as a celebrity of sort, someone who is in the spotlight, has been seen by millions of TV viewers and is both loved and hated at the same time. One just has to take a quick look at the GOP hopefuls who are polling at the top of the heap of “those who may step forward”, such as Mike Huckabee and Sarah Palin. Although Trump is only recently on the board, he’s in the same position, except for two stunning facts: He is, granted a “celebrity”, but he’s also a businessman with zero ties to traditional politics. That’s points for Trump.
Understanding that last night on the Fox Program “The O’Reilly Factor”, veteran journalist Bernie Goldberg dropped “the Bomb “that Trump is indeed, running for President, and he cited “sources”.
Perhaps they were sources such as New Hampshire’s WMUR, a must read for political junkies everywhere: Back in mid-March of this year, WMUR reported that Trump was heading to the Granite State to attend an all-important “Politics and Egg” Series in June. Further, Trump has reached out to New Hampshire foremost politico in order to “set up meetings” – named in the WMUR “scoop”, one Congressman Charlie Bass. Congressman Bass is a Republican Congressman from the 2nd District, who served 12 terms before being bested by a Democrat in 2006, and was reelected in 2010. How influential is Bass? Bass hails from an influential New Hampshire Political family according to all business.com, noted as The Clinton's or Rockefeller's of New Hampshire.
That aside, Politico noted back in March that Trump was actually looking to hire staff in New Hampshire.
There have been myriad reports on Trumps impending Trip to Iowa, (See this blog.)
Those sources alone would be enough to indicate that Trump is more than “thinking about” entering the 2012 race, he is “exploring”, interviewing staff and laying groundwork.
Will She? Clinton 2012 - image southasiaspeaks wordpress blog
Hillary Clinton’s stock is continuing to rise, as the numbers out on the President continue to plummet, a recent op-ed in the Los Angeles Times bluntly states: Why Clinton Must Run in 2012 and goes on to list the obvious reasons why Hillary must come in and salvage the Democrat Party. The blog, by John Phillips, states the obvious, and what has been obvious to almost every breathing right of extreme left to moderate Democrat that would vote for Clinton in a primary match-up. One need only search this blog for reasons why even a moderate Republican would find Clinton a formidable opponent and ready for “prime time” going back to 2007.
Although it is much less certain that Clinton would enter the race (although there are some valid arguments being med in favor of a Clinton run), Trump looks like a given. If he does not push the rest of the pack (Palin, Romney, Huckabee) to move up their announcement time lines) and begins to poll at least even with the aforementioned, come November of 2011 he’ll be a force that will be difficult to best. The 2012 Presidential Sweepstakes, the best of Reality Television from the GOP Primary to the possible DNC Primary to the General Election.
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