Friday, January 06, 2012

Jan. 7 & 8 Republican Debate Reminder - Gingrich Ad Analysis

There will be two debates this weekend, just prior to the New Hampshire primary.

One will take place on January 7th, ABC is the Network, and 9 PM, the time (Eastern). Candidates participating in this debate: Huntsman, Gingrich, Paul, Perry, Romney and Santorum.

The second will take place on January 8th, at 9AM - (set your dvr's!), NBC with the New Hampshire Union Leader and Facebook - participants - same as above.

This should be an interesting debate given the fact that the schematics of the race (polling wise) in New Hampshire are similar to the 2008 race in which Romney was favored to win in all polling, a week before the primary, yet McCain pulled out a win. This was due to ads run by McCain right up to the election. A Version of this ad is shown below. Gingrich is following a similar tactic, comparing and contrasting - ad aslo shown below.

Given the fact that both ads contain truths, that McCain endorsed Romney (which is in teh real world: funny), and that Santorum, Perry and Gingrich are all goign to be trying to knock Romney off the "anointed" status, without being as - bluntly put- nasty as the Romney campagin, it should fare well with all three candidates, at current polling Romney Leads, with Santorum 2nd and Gingrich 4th in New Hampshire, Ron Paul is the wild horse, who may upend any one of these candidates in the Granite State.

2007 - 2008 ad run by the McCain Campaign, recycled just in time by the PAC supporting Gingrich



Gingrich ad Running in NH - "Timid" - an Effective Contrast Ad

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