Friday, July 18, 2014

2016 Polling – What It Implies – Paul, Clinton and the Rest of the Pack - Analysis



The Los Angeles Times article on the latest 2016 polling is somewhat interesting in that the headline suggests that Clinton is sweeping a tightly packed field of Republicans. Once one gets into the breakdown of the latest polling, it is Biden, not the Republican’s Clinton leads in the first of the nation’s primary/caucus states. “Bunched are leader Rand Paul, and Jeb Bush in Iowa, with Christie behind in New Hampshire. Given that no one has announced an intent to run (besides Rand Paul, this is, of course, all hypothetical), it is interesting that Clintons is in a statistical tie with Republicans in both states! (Los Angeles Times)

The Washington Post Weighs in on Rand Paul in the same polling where they find he is in an excellent position at this point – however, it has been eons since any Republican took both Iowa and New Hampshire – basically sealing the nomination – Paul’s in line for that given the current field and current conditions.(Washington Post)

What to take away from all of this is the following: regardless of the outcome of any Democrat Primary at this point, the Republican’s are in good stead as of today to take back the White House. Considering that the pollsters name Hillary Clinton as the Democrat frontrunner, it appears that the former Secretary of State would rather spend her cash elsewhere than with an “iffy” at best run at the Presidency. Additionally, one sees a Maryland Governor who is shaping up nicely as a potential candidate as well. Elizabeth Warren, who is being touted as the next coming of Barack Obama, may not, after all run, according to sources. Who could blame either woman, who are smarter than most politicians, if both bowed out at this point due to two scenarios: one they may outright lose – based on current polling and two, does anyone really want to be next in line to clean up this horrific mess? That takes dedication and tons of courage and the certain knowledge that, as it may take several years to right the ship of state, the nation by year 4 may want to kick the person at the helm – to the proverbial curb.

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