Tuesday, February 11, 2014

How vulnerable are the Democrats? John Chapman to run for MA9 against Keating (D) – Has NRCC Support – Hell Freezes Over

John Chapman, Candidate for the MA9 - image from www.johnchapman2014.com

From the Springfield Republican, an article on vulnerable Democrats trying to “straddle” on Obamacare apparently has some play, even in Blue Massachusetts.(Masslive) What is, perhaps, even more shocking is the candidacy of John Chapman, former Romney Official, who will be running for the 9th Congressional District in MA (Masslive). In a press release this morning, the NRCC noted:

WASHINGTON - Today, the National Republican Congressional Committee announced that John Chapman has been elevated to ‘On the Radar’ in the NRCC’s ‘Young Guns’ program. The program will help to provide candidates and their campaigns the tools they need to run effective, successful and winning campaigns against their Democratic opponents. Originally founded in the 2007-2008 election cycle by Majority Leader Rep. Eric Cantor (R-VA), Majority Whip Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and Budget Chairman Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI), the Young Guns program supports and mentors challenger and open-seat candidates in races across the country. Chapman is running in Massachusetts’ 9th Congressional District.

“I am confident that John Chapman will be a successful and dedicated member of this program and that he will continue to work hard to reach the crucial campaign benchmarks that have been established ahead of the 2014 elections,” said NRCC Chairman Greg Walden. “Massachusetts’ hardworking families deserve better than skyrocketing health care costs, financial instability and mountains of debt on their backs. I am certain that John Chapman will be a strong contender this election cycle.”

John Chapman's career has taken him from the Reagan White House, where he served as an aide in the Counsel's Office, to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, where he led investigations into Wall Street corruption and financial fraud, to the highest levels of Massachusetts state government, where he was an agency commissioner and undersecretary of economic development. John was also General Counsel for the Joslin Diabetes Center, an affiliate of Harvard Medical School, and a former partner at the law firm of Duane Morris LLP, where he advised corporate clients on enforcement and compliance issues, corporate governance and regulatory matters.

Throughout his entire career John has exhibited the personal qualities of leadership, determination, collaboration and diplomacy, which will serve him well as the 9th District's next Congressman

Normally, Massachusetts receives little to no support for any candidates running with an ® following their name, however, this year might be different, support from D.C. or no. Although a firm Reagan-Romney Republican (which is to say, possibly conflicted enough to be both moderate and conservative, thus appealing to all factions in the MA independent party (50 % unenrolleds registered.), one gets the sense that perhaps no place is a “safe spot for incumbents.

Which begs the question, if the NRCC is pegging one Candidate in the Bay State what next? One should see opposition candidates for almost every district, and unless there is a huge, get out the low information voter turnout by the Democrats – unlikely in a mid-term, then changes are in the wind. Not only in Massachusetts, but nationwide.

One might also point out that since the electorate is somewhat unhappy with a list of complaints, most prevalent is the economy, and the disconnect between Washington and the “rest of the nation”.

2014 may prove, in the long-run to be predictable, but one should not bet on it.

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