The GOP Field at Recent Debate: How they Stack up with 347 GOP voters - Marist Poll - image telegraph UK
The Wall Street Journal’s article on the latest GOP 2012 Presidential poll, praises Newt Gingrich for coming in second to Mitt Romney – Cain in this Poll places third, Ron Paul fourth, and the balance in single digits. According to the marginals the Marist poll used only the percentage of Republicans and Republican Leaning Independents to arrive at their conclusions, a sample reduced to 347 possible voters (not all registered). See poll examples below. Therefore, the sample, for a national poll falls short.
This is not to take anything away from Gingrich, who, one can hazard to guess is most likely polling past Romney, given the fact that Romney cannot get out of the 20’s in other polls. Cain came in third, questions for Cain focused on the allegations made by the Gloria Allred client and one other woman who came forward (the other remain anonymous) who’s credibility bears scrutiny. In light of this line of questioning, over 2/3 of respondents do not want Cain out of the race.
It is what is known as a somewhat leading poll. That said, Gingrich is picking up in state polls, passing Romney, and in states where it counts: Iowa and South Carolina specifically.
Therefore this is a made for news poll, rather than a poll to be taken too seriously. What is amazing is that the reporting on polls that contain a) unregistered voters and b) a larger percentage of Democrats than Republicans significantly reducing the sample,(for a Republican GOP poll), is taking place at all.
The polls that truly count: the one’s to which the media are not privy – the campaigns internal polls.
Highlights from this polls release are below – click on image to enlarge
The Results
The GOP field
Poll Demographics
Cain Support at two thirds of sample
Marist the nature of the poll and accuracy
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