Monday, July 26, 2010

Obama To Voters – “Things Could be Worse” – Record Number of GOP Candidates New England Congressional Races 2010

FromThe Boston Globe, via the AP: Apparently, the only message left to voters from Barak Obama, besides blaming George Bush, is to blame all Republican’s in general. As the 2010 mid-term elections draw near, Obama has taken to telling voters that the Democrats need more time, and that to vote them out of office now, would be to reverse the path to progress they have embarked upon.

In the AP article, the President states on one news program that American’s don’t have selective memories, so he should be well aware, that American’s understand Congress and the Senate have been controlled by Democrats since 2006 – before he took office. As anyone with a basic understanding of Civics understands, the President alone, cannot make or break a single piece of legislation, he or she needs the Congress and Senate to give the “go-ahead” so to speak, as they control the purse-strings. According to several polls, both on state races and national trends, the people do understand and in addition, are rejecting legislation passed by this president and his simpatico Congress.

It is no wonder that confidence levels tracked by Gallop show that American’s, in general, have lost confidence in the Presidency by 15 points since one year ago – and that Congress, which was already at the bottom of the list of institutions graded, has reached the lowest point (11%) since tracking began in 1973. The media is not faring much better, with newspapers at 25% confidence (no change from last year) and television news at 22% (down 1 % from last year) – with deliberately misleading and or blatantly partisan articles released by major news outlets and then reprinted or broadcast with abandon, is it no wonder?

Examples: A recent AP article, specific to Massachusetts, speaks to the disparity of cash on hand that Republican Congressional contenders currently hold against the large sums managed by Incumbent Democrats – citing Scott Browns fundraising as a barometer, thereby dismissing the efforts of the Massachusetts Republicans – simply put – the article is disingenuous for several reasons. One, there are several candidates in each district, (Republican), who must face off in a primary, once the primary is past, then , as evidenced by the same Scott Brown touted in the article, fundraising on a larger scale commences. Brown did not realize millions in fundraising until the final weeks of the campaign, as this particular race was seen as a national race.

Democrats who have large “war chests” have not had to campaign in years, most of that cash is rolled over from previous years – the appearance of being on top of the heap, is just that an appearance. Will each district primary winner do as well as Scott Brown in fundraising? Hardly likely as it is a district race, not a state race, and with voter sentiment, especially in Massachusetts, anti-incumbent, the need for parity with the incumbent democrat as to cash on hand, may not be necessary.

That is hardly the message that the national press wants to portray - however, when one looks at the FEC filing that is touted as evidence here , one does find that the Hampden 2nd for example, where Richard Neal, Charles Rangels hand-picked predecessor, has a cash advantage over Jay Fleitman the leading Republican “cash raiser”, the story neglects the fact that Neal is giving out donations to embattled Democrats in order to “campaign” for a chance to be Chairman of the Ways and Means Committee. Although Neal is not disbursing huge sums compared to others vying for the seat that controls our taxes, it is still worth noting.

Additionally, going back into the FEC database to 1999, Neal continued to hold the advantage in cash on hand, even when he had no opposition here - it’s the Democrat candidates equivalent to rollover minutes.

That is true of every single seat held in the Massachusetts Congressional Caucus made up exclusively of Democrat Incumbents. The big “if” will come into play weeks before the election, where fund-raising levels should peak – districts to watch – all contested Massachusetts races – the 5th, the Hampden 2nd, the 4th all carry national names, some better known as others – with the potential for the Republican candidate left standing after the primary in September, to begin fundraising on a national scale – as most of the money initially going to Brown came from outside of the state in the first million dollar Internet money bomb.

How concerned is the media? Read this article in the Boston Globe which headlines: “GOP may miss chances in N.E.”, “Only handful of seats are hotly contested”. In this piece by Globe Staffer Mark Arsenault, the “fact” that the lost opportunity is due to the fact that only 3 of 22 house races are being contested by Republicans. The article is based fully on the intelligence of the Cook Report, which bases its ratings on state races on “political intelligence” – as of now, virtually every seat is considered “safe Democrat from this Washington DC based publication. On the one hand, the 3 seats out of 22 being contested are actually 21 out of 22, a case made by a Red State Blogger entitled: “Hey Tom Davis, stop lying about New England!”, and goes on to outline the fact that so far out of those 21 seats contested by the GOP, top fundraisers are at “$5,337,725”, not a small sum in New England. One can also just hop over to the FEC site to see the list of candidate for Federal Races to compare fundraising efforts by this field of firsts, against those who have held seats for eons (and check the roll-over funds from the past six mid-term elections just for fun) – the FEC Address again www.fec.gov/finance/disclosure/srssea.shtml

Therefore, Obama appears to be caught between the old rock and a hard place, not only are the American people losing patience with his “progress”, they have completely lost patience with incumbents – giving one the notion that, despite an media in concert with the administration and similar ideology – the people are, as of this writing, prone to replacing the lot of them.

How concerned is Obama at this point? According to Politico He’s sent a “2012” advance team to Florida.

Meanwhile, over in Massachusetts, the field is not only crowded for Federal positions, but the battle for Beacon Hill shows more Republicans in the primary than in past years – the opportunity exists to pick up seats in the State House and Senate, (Mass. Secretary of State)

Therefore, no matter how often it is broadcast, printed, re-printed, the voters are no longer listening – or at least up to 75 of them are now seeking information elsewhere or doing their own research.

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