Sunday, April 05, 2009

Dodd Losing Ground in Early Senate Polls – Spells Trouble for DNC Candidates Nationwide

Chris Dodd, (D-CT) has taken yet another beating in a poll released this weekend by the Hartford Courant.
In the latest match-up, Rob Simmons, Republican beats Dodd handily, with 50% of respondents choosing Simmons, and 12% undecided – Dodd garnered only 34%.

With the DNC desperate to maintain the slim majority in the Senate, Dodd is now in the unique position being staunchly defended by the Party and alternately of facing opposition from within the party. Just this past week, Roger Pearson, Democrat, announced his intent to run against Dodd in the primary.

An interesting analysis in U.S. News and World Report by Michael Barrone, questions whether Dodd will drag other Democrats down. One can’t be certain that Dodd alone would be a factor in the possibility of lost seats in both the House and the Senate – the economy, and a nation that remains deeply divided politically, will factor.

Therefore, Democrats who are running in states where the electorate is skewed more than 25% unenrolled, unaffiliated or independent should start paying attention to poll numbers and watching the opposition. One has to recall that the last two general election cycles were, basically, historically correct, the Republican’s were bound to lose seats, and the question was how many. The elections in question were lost not by an increase in party affiliation, but by a growing number of those independents who are not so easily swayed, one way or the other, when it comes to party rhetoric.

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