According to Politico: Democrats are targeting certain freshmen Republican Congressional Office holders, who had won districts, that formerly were won by both Obama and Kerry back in 2008 and 2004 respectively. This assumes that these individuals will be a) easy to pick off, and b) that the Democrat brand has recovered. If one subscribes to what one reads in the daily papers, and/or stays strictly tuned to MSNBC, that scenario does appear valid; however, otherwise, it appears to be wishful thinking. It is apparent, of course, that in the face of so many offices being up for grabs in 2012 (all Congressional Office holders are up for reelection and a bevy of Senator), with the race for the Presidency being the highlight that all eyes on the big prize, might allow for a few to slip through the proverbial cracks back in to the “D” column. That remains to be seen.
As to the Office of the Presidency, Obama is said to be gearing up to announce his reelection this Monday morning, with a video on his website , BarackObama.com (see Video Below) (Politico). According to the AP, the plan: is to brand himself as “a reformer”. Seriously, the upbeat AP article points out the fact that few Republican’s have entered the race against the President (other than Tim Pawlenty), the balance are looking at late June to decide – therefore, despite all odds, should no GOP heavyweights get into the race, Obama stands a fairly good chance. After all, there was that slight uptick in the Unemployment numbers, out of so many issues, that is the one saving grace for this particular President.
Apparently, Polls are of no concern.(nor do they paint the entire picture, see Carter)
Rasmussen April 3rd: 26% approve, 46% disapprove of Obama’s Job Performance.
Gallup45% Approve, 47% Disapprove (Gallup is generally conservative - not politically rather mathematically), They also had this recent gem Huckabee, who has yet to make a decision to run or not to run, as well as Mitt Romney who is more vocal, yet not officially announced) both statically tie Obama in a hypothetical matchup.
Quinnipiac (University –can run left of center), Obama on deserving a second term: 49% no, 43% yes
The above numbers should either improve or degrade entirely through the coming months leading up to the end of 2011 and the announcements by those GOP possible Presidential contenders who are keeping every political junkie in suspense. There is that 5 trillion pound gorilla in the room: specifically the rising cost of gas at the pump, inflation hitting food, and the kicker: the Fed is said to be considering raising interest rates.
When the dollar is devalued as it is, and inflation has struck and it has, a rise in interest rates causes “hyper inflation”, the more companies have to invest, either in fuel and or loans (assuming there are available) theses costs are passed onto the consumer. Historically, this is what occurred during the last year of the Carter administration – His poll numbers, historically, were at about the same level as the current presidents at this time. (Source: Calary Herald via Google Newspapers Carter enjoyed a 40 plus approval rating in March, which fell to the 30’s immediately following based on the economy.
Additionally, Carter polled fairly well against “Challengers”, in the Gallup Poll in 12/79 - Carter had the command with a 60 to 36 percent lead over Ronald Reagan. The rest, as we say, is history.
Obama's Video Announcement from Relying on his Base
Monday, April 04, 2011
Sunday, April 03, 2011
2012 - Huckabee Leads both GOP and National in Latest Polls - Should Consider Post June Announcement - Opinion
Huckabee - Trump May Give Incentive for Earlier Announcement
a Farleigh Dickenson Poll link here released on the 31st of March, shows Mike Huckabee in a virtual tie with Obama (46/46) for the presidency. Furthermore, Huckabee also leads all “possible Republican Candidates” in Gallup’s “GOP Positive Intensity Tracking” poll. It is just a matter of when, and if, Huckabee will announce his formation of an exploratory committee, that has most media in an uproar as not one candidate (with the exception of Tim Pawlenty), has given an indication that they would announce much before June or later of 2011.
If Huckabee announces sooner than later, however, one can bet his lead would increase exponentially. Given Trumps entrance onto the national 2012 stage, Huckabee should consider the implications, given that some of his base may consider Trump as a viable alternative.
Trump 2012 – the Glenn Beck Factor – Backhanded Endorsement – Beck Calls Out Trump as an Extremists! Opinion
Glenn Beck: "The Fusion of Entertainment and Enlightenment"? - Photo Conservative blogs central (blogspot)
From Politico: Glenn Beck on Fox News’, Bill O’Rielly noted that Donald Trump “made him feel uncomfortable” and that the nation does not need a “showboat”. (See Video Below).
Beck who is consistently pounding the “Fear Factor”, vis a vis the current administration and George Soros, would be at a lack for material should “The Donald” be successful in a bid for the GOP nomination and then the Presidency. Beck, on the one hand notes, that no one is better equipped to deal with the nation’s economy, however, on the other hand, Trump, who has issued no-apology statements that are not “politically correct” (or particularly mainstream) which are similar to those Beck makes on a daily basis, puts Beck in a virtual “tizzy”.
Beck, who is a smart, savvy, hustler of books and such vis a vis his radio and tv spots, would have to cast far and wide to find a way to stir up his audience should Obama, or another Socialist-Democrat not remain in the White House. If anything were to happen to George Soros, for example, Beck would lose half of his material – and be left with the “prepare for the worst, Obama is in charge” mentality that he has employed successfully over the last several years.
For example, those who have contacted this blogger, after listening to Beck, are convinced they must store up food, buy land in a remote corner of the nation, and be ready at a moment’s notice to save themselves and their families in order to avoid the riots and looting that will occur when the economy collapses under Obama. Frankly, that kind of fear mongering, along with a “buy my book on this subject, or invest in Gold”, makes his statements on Trump, to those who might think Beck, a snake oil salesman with several honorary History Degrees, (which one can’t argue aren’t deserved), a ringing endorsement of Trump.
The Obama Birth Certificate: Glenn Beck: “
Obama birth certificate ‘horrible forgery”, From July 2008.
On China: ”
Glenn Beck: Why we lose the War Game with China” From May 2009
Of note: Beck has found a way to insert The Donald into his routine: From April 1st: “Mika: Trump another example of right wing hate – UPDATED – Why no coverage of real death threats?” In this particular article, he dismisses Trump.
Beck is after all, a survivalist and if Trump salvaged the economy, what would Beck have left?
Regardless of which way the GOP primary turns, be it Huckabee, Palin, Trump, or some as yet to declare candidate (a possibility in this era), one has to question how will that candidate fare with Beck?
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
