The latest Iowa Presidential poll by Public Policy Pollingsees former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee tied with President Obama at 45% each , Mitt Romney is the next closest GOP “possible” contender garnering 41% to Obama’s 45%. The pollster notes that the “good news” for Obama is that he is besting GOP potential candidates Newt Gingrich, Sarah Palin and Donald Trump by “double digits”, however, the bad news is in the marginals - 50% of those surveyed voted for Obama in 2008, with the makeup of the poll: 38% Democrat, 33% Republican and the balance Independent/other. The shift if political think in this particular group sees the independent’s leaning towards a GOP candidate – it appears there is less of an “interest” in the “rock star” candidate, now President, Obama.
Although recently launching his bid for re-election via Facebook, the President’s 2012 Campaign Website: www.barackobama.com appears to be drawing little fanfare at this point. When one visits the forums section of the website<= one need only plug in their zip code to find other Obama enthusiast in their area. In a test of the site, using the feature “newest groups created”, one finds several new area support groups, each with one to three “fans” who are “in”. In a specific search in the heart of Massachusetts (blue), and visits the Springfield MA group – one finds that the “fans” originally signed up in 2007 and 2008, with a quick members search showing no new fans since those dates. To search in your area, go to the find a group section here, plug in your zip code, and multiple groups will appear some public, others “private”. The Public groups are accessible – to view membership in a public group, click on the plus sign inside a circle graphic to the right of the Directory bar.
One would think that at this point, in the bluest state, the President would be drawing new devotees, especially this “late” in the campaign. The fact that it is truly “early” in terms of campaigns and while the majority of the press assails the GOP for not producing candidates who are committed to running at this point, most Presidential campaigns prior to 2007 did not fully form until mid-summer of the year before – this gives Huckabee, Romney, Trump, or someone yet unnamed time to throw their hat in the ring, despite the prevailing media think.
In the PPP Iowa Poll, one has to consider that Huckabee won Iowa in the GOP caucus in 2008 and continues to have ground support in that state, however, he also has topped the Gallup national poll, and the latest poll shows the former governor tied with businessman, Donald Trump for the GOP nomination. The poll taken April 22 shows Mitt Romney and Sarah Palin as the only other candidates in “double digits”. These “polls” and results will of course, drive some decisions as to who may or may not enter the race, however, should Mike Huckabee and Donald Trump enter, along with Romney, Palin, Ron Paul (who announced his exploratory committee yesterday, Michelle Bachman, and others mentioned as “possible”, it is, despite the dogma from those who do not lean “conservative”, a fine group of possible candidates from which to choose the next potential leader of the U.S. Both Trump and Huckabee have more extensive experience in “management” than the balance of the candidates, with Palin and Romney having approximately equal time in government management positions. (Romney’s term as Governor of Massachusetts, and Palin's term as Governor of Arkansas prior to being Mayor of Wasilla, AK). The entire group, with few exceptions has held more business/governing posts than the current occupant at the White House.
This race, as it rounds the spring of 2011 and heads towards summer, with the current anxiety levels across all spectrums of the population vis a vis the economy, gives the edge to Huckabee and Trump (and this is despite Trumps “negatives” i.e.: the press), who both have had experience pulling either a State and or a business from less than stellar status into “winners”. In an interview on Fox, commentator Dick Morris may have hit the nail on the head when he noted (paraphrasing): “What we need are winners”, in reference to his predication that Trump could indeed win the presidency.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment