Friday, November 12, 2010

2012 – Obama’s Reelection Appears More Difficult by the Day – Look to Massachusetts and Beware the Trojan Horse

An article from Politico: Map Narrows for Obama Reelection speaks to the difficulty the President may have due to the shift in political think of key states who had voted Obama in 2008, shifting Republican in 2010 mid-terms. True, the President’s approval ratings are currently at 44% which at below 50% going into general election cycle does not bode well for the incumbent, however, there is one "stragey" that Obama White House Advisor, and anticipated 2012 Campaign Manger Advisor and Campaign Manager, David Axelrod, may employ which would allow Obama to be elected to a second term.

The Massachusetts experiment:

Back in 2007, David Axelrod (commentary from MyBarackObama here intended to use Massachusetts and Deval Patrick’s 2006 win, (click here for discussion screenshot) to propel Obama into the White House. It was a perfect model, right down to the slogans, which every move was revived in 2008 – “Yes, we can”.

Forward to the 2010 Massachusetts Governors Race:

It goes without saying that Axelrod’s comments on the eve of the 2010 Mid-terms regarding his keeping close eyes on Massachusetts bears some scrutiny. Deval Patrick won the race for election primarily due to Tim Cahill, a former Democrat in the Patrick Administration, who suddenly decided to run for Govenor as an Independent. Cahill took an astounding 8% of the vote (which is unusually high for an independent running in Massachustts), leaving Patrick with a 49% win, had Cahill not been the Trojan Horse in the race, Charles Baker would have been Govenor. With Patrick’s’ campaign allegedly inside the Cahill campaign, it was glaringly apparent that Patrick would prevail under this scenario - the “Independent” candidate being a front for the Patrick campaign.

Therefore, as the nation moves forward to 2012, should an independent candidate, or candidates emerge, with any ties to the Democrat party, (especially if that individual suddenly, like Cahill, decides to enter the race as an “independent”), that candidate or candidates should be carefully vetted by the people – be mindful of the Massachusetts model.

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