Saturday, October 31, 2009

New York 23rd – Two Candidates Only – Hoffman and Owens – Scozzafava Bows Out


Doug Hoffman, New York Conservative Party History in the Making - New York 23rd District - image:4.pb.blogspot

The Republicanrunning in the New York 23rd District, Dede Scozzafava, has taken herself out of the race, leaving the Conservative Candidate Doug Hoffman poised to make history. Hoffman, who had closed within a point of Democrat Bill Owns according to polls taken before Scozzafava announcement, will now, in all likelihood, surge past Owens on Tuesday to be the New York Conservative Party’s first Representative in the United States Congress.

Ms. Scozzafava suspended her campaign today, once it was determined by the latest polls that she could not possibly win. In a statement she thanked her supporters and acknowledging that her name would still appear on the ballot, indicated that those supporters were free to put their support where they chose.
It is now likely that on Tuesday, both New York, and the Governor’s seats in New Jersey and Virginia will be held by conservatives.

Friday, October 30, 2009

Congressional Health Care Plan – No Surprises - Overall Decline in Quality of Health Care can be Expected – Placing Incumbents at Risk.


Congressional Approval low among Independent and Republican and Democrat voters- image blogsrepworthreading



An article from the Boston Globe, via the A.P. speaks to the risks involved in the newly unveiled Obama Administration health care reform plan; the plans target the insurance, prescription drug, doctors and, the medical device industry for heavy taxes. These taxes are designed in part to defray the costs to the 1.5 Trillion Dollar plan that House Speaker, Nancy Pelosi unveiled yesterday in a public ceremony that was, not open to the public, rather open to those who were specifically chosen to attend by invitation only.


Arrogance or Stupidy: Pelosi Pushes Public Option to Detrement of the Public - image: huffingtonpost




Apparently, those industries targeted for higher taxes, fees and cuts, did not “play ball” with the Obama administration in the initial stages of the bill when health care providers were asked to accept taxes and fees that were designed to support the public option – or more specifically the “competition”. In honing in on the insurance companies with higher taxes, those who are currently holding policies can anticipate a sharp increase in premiums, in this economic climate, it is difficult enough for the average middle class to manage, and any increases plan an additional burden on families. Doctors have also been targeted as a group to pay higher taxes and fees – the result – either those fees will be passed onto the already over-taxed insurance companies, or the general public, or those physicians will look elsewhere – there is to date, no tort reform on this administrations agenda, which would at the least offer some relief to those practicing medicine by reducing exorbitant medical malpractice awards, thereby reducing the sky-high malpractice insurance premiums which affect anyone in the medical field. The pharmaceutical companies, will, in all likelihood, reduce research, which will further affect millions of American’s who are waiting for a miracle drug that only U.S. pharmaceutical firms appear to produce. The most hazardous of all industries targeted is the Medical Device Industry which produces medical equipment used in surgical procedures that make life livable for seniors and additionally, save lives. These firms produce devises such as artificial hips and heart stents and a host of products used in surgical procedures or alternately to reduce the risk of surgery.

Apparently, those in Congress who attended non-scripted Town Hall meetings over the summer, failed to grasp the fact that the majority of American’s preferred their current health care program, that improvements would be welcome, but that any deviations that would harm the current quality of care would not be tolerated. It is either the unfettered arrogance of the elite who live in the bubble that is Washington, or perhaps, at this point, the stupidity of those who, for now, control the lives of 309 million Americans, that has led to this debacle. Obviously , the House version is not the final say, rather the Senate must weigh in, and at this point, embattled Majority Leader, Harry Reid, is “almost certain” that the bill will make it to the floor” . It is understood that the Senate version has a type of “public option” that would allow States to opt out, includes provisions to tax individuals who, for what-ever reason, do not have health care (see Massachusetts model), both of which, as previously mentioned, do not play well with the majority of the public. (Refer to polling date where only 23% strongly approve of the Congressional plan.

Adding additional debt to an already astronomical deficit, with no end in sight, and spending taxpayers’ dollars with abandon, may play the largest role in the nations swing to the right (Gallup) as well as the swing right in early 2009 races; Virginia and New Jersey Governor races, and two U.S. Congressional seats: the New York 23rd and the California 10th. Of the four, it is possible that New Jersey (which is too close to call at this point) and the California 10th (again too close to call), may remain in the Democrat’s control, but the loss of two seats, regardless of whether they be a State Governors chair, or a U.S. Congressional Seat, signals the mood of the country - and a growing probability that the bulk of the 2010 Congressional races will swing right (again refer to all the Red or in some cases “black” for alternative party, appearing in polling on the Real Clear Politics website here

Although polls can be skewed to create a favorable outcome (many polls are commissioned and/or polling organizations have a specific ideological bent), it is apparent that with an average approval of under 25% the Congress is at risk along with those American’s who rely on the health care that is known as the best in the world. Reform with improvement would be welcome, but the current versions do not offer improvement, rather they signal additional burdens on the system and the general public.

Thursday, October 29, 2009

Obama Faces A Fourth Front – The California 10th – Local Media: “Race to Replace Tauscher may be closer than first thought”

There’s been a good deal of attention (for those political junkies paying attention) to three particular races: the New York 23rd Congressional, and Virginia and New Jersey’s Governor’s seats, but a 4th exists – the California 10th. The seat, which was left vacant (similar to the 23rd), when Obama elevated Ellen Tauscher to a position in the State Department. On Tuesday, California 10th district voters go to the polls to choose either Republican David Harmer or John Garamendi, who survived a brutal Democrat primary.

According to local news outlet KCBS the race may not be a given, even though this district actually trends Democrat. According to the California Secretary of State’s office voter registration in the 10th district (as of February 2009), counts 368,484 registered voters, 47 percent Democrat, 29% Republican, 2.9% American Independent and .58% Green Party and additional count includes 1527 voters of whom 19.8% are uncommitted to any party, Libertarian, Peace and Freedom make up the balance. This should indicate a landslide for the Democrat running, that said, as with any off season election, the get out the vote drive is lackluster at best (New York 23rd may be the exception), and disenfranchised moderate Democrats may be more independent minded as of late. (These are the type of Democrats that reject left of center ideology and spending - similar to Democrats who were referred to as Reagan Democrats in the late 1970’s - remember that little “revolution” began in California all due to the Carter Phenomenon.) The last polling found on this particular race was for the Democrat primary. This race, perhaps more so than the other three, bears watching. Should the Republican take a healthy percentage of the vote (45%), or even win the seat (which according to local media, is probable), then this would signal a real rejection of the current modus operandi in place in Washington. Of the "big 3" races, the New York 23rd currently has Conservative Doug Hoffman in the lead, Virgina has Republican McDonnell leading by double digits, and New Jersey is too close to call, however, the Independent Candidate (similar ideology to Corzine)has lost ground in the past week, giving Corzine a slight edge over the Republican - the poll was conducted by Quinnipiac and with less than a week to go 19% of those polled are "undecided" making this any ones race.

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